Prediction Market · Off chain
Call the market
Back your read
Reya Bet is a points based prediction market for the Reya ecosystem, put RXP on crypto price moves and World Cup 2026 outcomes, share one pool, and let the crowd set the odds.
A prediction market that runs on points, not risk
Reya Bet is the off chain prediction market of the Reya ecosystem, it's a standalone product, its own domain, its own accounts, built around one simple loop: read a question about the future, stake RXP on the outcome you believe, and get paid from the shared pool if you called it right
Every new account starts with 1,000 RXP, there is no real money anywhere in the system, RXP is a reputation currency, what you're really playing for is your position on the leaderboard, your rank tier, and the badges that prove you saw it coming
You're not betting against the house, you're betting against everyone else in the pool, and the odds move as they pile in, Reya Bet only takes a small fee to keep the points economy balanced
Two worlds to predict
Markets fall into two headline categories, each settled by its own automated oracle so results are objective and tamperproof
Price, up or down
“Will BTC be above $X in 24h?” style markets, resolved against live prices from the Reya on chain oracle (api.reya.xyz), fast cycles, sharp reads
Football outcomes
Match winners and tournament questions across World Cup 2026, auto imported from open football data and settled the moment the final whistle blows
Under the hood the engine also supports head to head, club football and Formula 1 markets, the same pool mechanics apply to every category
How a pool pays out
Reya Bet uses a pari mutuel model, the same math horse racing tote boards have used for a century, everyone's stakes go into one pot, when the market resolves, the losing side's money is split among the winners in proportion to how much each staked
The house takes a flat 3% fee off the top of every pool, that fee is the only sink that keeps RXP from inflating forever, the rest is paid straight back to the people who were right
The odds are a live estimate
While a market is open, the multiple you see is derived straight from the current pools:
odds = total pool × (1 − 0.03) ÷ your side's pool
Because it's an estimate off the current pot, your final payout can drift as more people bet after you, the empty side has no price yet, the first bettor there sets it
If nobody picks the winning side, the market can't pay out, so everyone is simply refunded their original stake, fee waived
The RXP economy
RXP flows in through a handful of predictable faucets and out through the house fee, you never top up with money, you earn your way to a bigger stack
The daily claim resets every UTC day, chatting with your AI agent pays 5 RXP a message for your first five messages each day, a small nudge to actually think out loud before you stake, not a grind
Backing out before the whistle
Changed your mind while a market is still open? You can cash a position out early, the return is deliberately simple and ungameable: your original stake minus a 5% spread
In a pari mutuel pool, the fair value of any open position stays constant no matter how the odds swing, a rising potential payout is exactly cancelled by a falling chance of winning, so cash out can't track the live multiple without becoming exploitable, a fixed spread keeps it honest
Ranks & seasons
Your tier is computed live from your total points, no separate grind, no claiming, cross a threshold and the badge on your share cards and profile upgrades automatically
Seasons run the leaderboard on top of this, winning bets add season points to the active season, so the standings reset and reward whoever's hot right now, not whoever joined first
Quests & badges
Daily quests give you a reason to spread your bets across markets, they refresh every UTC day and pay out on top of anything you win
Badges are permanent
Badges are earned once and kept forever, proof of milestones, not daily chores
An AI agent tuned to you
Every account gets a personal AI agent you can talk markets with, during onboarding it learns three things about how you play, and shapes every reply around them:
- Risk appetite, cautious, balanced, or degen, it pushes low variance plays or matches your chase, but never hides the downside
- Experience, rookie, familiar, or sharp, it explains mechanics or skips straight to the alpha
- Tone, brutal, supportive, or dry analyst, it calls bad picks out cold, backs you up, or just lets the numbers talk
Talking to it earns a little RXP too, five points a message, first five messages a day, so thinking a bet through is gently rewarded
Referrals & sharing
Every account has a six character referral code, when a friend signs up through it, both of you get 200 RXP, no cap on how many friends you bring
When a position resolves, Reya Bet renders a share card for it, the big payout multiple, the market, your rank badge, ready to drop on X, every shared link carries your referral code, so a good call doubles as an invite, share links always point to reyabet.xyz
Questions, answered
Is any of this real money?
No, RXP is a points-only currency with no cash value and no top ups, you play for rank, leaderboard position, and bragging rights
Why did my payout differ from the odds I saw?
Odds are a live estimate off the current pools, if more people bet your side after you, your slice of the winning pool shrinks slightly, the number is honest at the moment you see it, it just isn't locked
What happens if everyone bets the wrong side?
If no one picked the winning outcome, there's nothing to redistribute, so every stake is refunded in full and the fee is waived
Can I lose points I didn't stake?
Never, the most a position can cost you is the RXP you put in, everything else in your balance is untouched
How do I climb the ranks?
Win bets, your tier is computed directly from your total points, so there's nothing to claim, cross 1,500 / 3,000 / 6,000 / 12,000 RXP and Silver → Gold → Platinum → Diamond unlock on their own